In 1920, Babe Ruth dominated the home run category when it came to MLB statistics. Ruth launched 54 home runs that season, nearly three times the next highest t0tal (19 for the Saint Louis Browns’ George Sisler) and more than all but one of the remaining MLB teams (the Phillies hit 64 home runs as a team).
Yesterday (September 18), Marlins’ right-hander Sandy Alcantara tossed his fifth complete game of the 2022 season – running his record to 13-8, 2.37 and his league-leading innings pitched to 212 2/3.
The Babe Ruth connection? Alcantara’s dominance of the statistical category. (Keep in mind, Baseball Roundtable “connections” reflect how I look at baseball statistics and may be stretched at times.) Alcantara’s five complete games are more than any other MLB team (the Red Sox, Astros, Phillies and Cardinals have three each … and half of MLB’s 30 teams have yet to record a complete game this season). The only pitchers with more than one complete game so far this season are Alcantara, the Astros’ Framber Valdez (3) and the Phillies’ Aaron Nola (2).
A few observations:
- In addition to his five 2022 complete games, Alcantara completed nine shutout innings in a Marlins’ 10-inning, 2-1 loss to the Nationals on June 8.
- The last time we saw an MLB pitcher log as many as five complete games in a season was 2017 (Corey Kluber, Indians).
- Alcantara’s 212 2/3 innings pitched lead MLB by a notable margin (The Cardinals’ Miles Mikolas is second at 187 1/3).
- Alcantara has averaged 7+ inning in his 30 2022 starts.
- Alcantara tied for the 2019 NL complete-game lead with two complete games.
- Thus far in the 2022 season, only 0.6 percent of starts have resulted in a complete game (as opposed to 16.7 percent of Alcantara’s starts.
Here’s a historic perspective on complete games (I chose not to use the shortened 2020 season). Note: This chart, previously published in Baseball Roundtable has been updated to include Negro League records from 1920-48, which have been added to the MLB record book.,
As you might expect, the chart shows a steady decline in complete games.
Now, a few Baseball Roundtable musings on complete games. (Note: This is not presented as criticism, just a look at how the game has changed.)
It wasn’t until 1955 that we saw an AL/NL leader in complete games with less than 20 finished starts (Whitey Ford, Yankees, 18 CGs). And, 1980 was the first year that a league leader notched less than 14 complete games. The last time we saw 20 complete games in a season? Fernando Valenzuela in 1986. James Shields, in 2011, became the first pitcher to reach double-digits (11) in complete games in a dozen years – and earned a reputation as an iron man.
Jack Taylor and Will White – Finishing What They Started.
Between 1901 and 1906 (Cubs and Cardinals), Jack Taylor threw a record 187 consecutive complete games (with 15 relief appearances interspersed). Then there’s Will White (Cincinnati), who, in 1879, completed a single-season record 75 complete games (in 75 starts). White went 43-31 that year, with a 1.99 ERA and 680 innings pitched. For his career, White completed 394 of 401 starts.
How different is today’s game? In 2021, the MLB co-leaders in complete games (Adam Wainwright, German Marquez, and Zach Wheeler) each threw three complete games. In September of 1908, Walter Johnson threw three complete-game shutouts in four days – and might have done it in three days, except for baseball’s sabbath laws.
The record for career complete games belongs to Cy Young at 749. Young completed 91.9 percent of his starts. The active leader in career games is Adam Wainwright, with 28 in 387 starts (7.2%) over 17 seasons. Babe Ruth, by the way (to continue the Babe Ruth connection), tossed 107 complete games in 147 career starts.
As complete games have dropped, the numbers of pitchers used in each game have risen. In the 1950’s, when I started watching major-league baseball, you were likely to see four pitchers per game (the average in 1950 was 2.01 pitchers per team/per game). In 2021, you were more likely to see between eight and nine players take the mound in a game (the average was 4.44 pitcher per team/per game). Through September 18 of this season, the average is 4.29 pitchers per team/per game. Note: Starting pitchers are included in the count.
Jim Devlin, A Complete-Game Machine
In 1877, Jim Devlin of the National League’s Louisville Grays started and completed all 61 of the team’s games– the only pitcher ever to pitch all of a team’s innings in a season. This, by the way, came one season after he started all but the final game of the Grays’ season (a record 68 consecutive games pitched in) and finished 66 of them. Devin logged a total of 1,181 innings. Side Note: Sadly, Devlin’s career was cut short when he was banned after the 1877 season, as the result of a game-fixing scandal.
—–Baseball Roundtable’s Take on the Decline in Complete Games—–
So, why the dramatic decline in complete games?
Five-man Rotations … and. more recently “openers” and “bullpen games.”
In baseball’s early days, teams got by with two or three primary starters. Even in the 1960’s a four-man rotation was pretty common. As we moved into the 1970s, teams started moving to five-man pitching rotations. Fewer starts, fewer opportunities for wins, complete games, innings pitched. (Notably, swifter travel – trains not planes – contributed somewhat to this. In the days of train travel, more travel time meant more days between series and fewer pitchers were needed. )
In 1968, when Bob Gibson went 22-9, 1.12 for the Cardinals, he tossed 28 complete games (13 shutouts) in 34 starts.
More recently, in a strategy first led by the Rays, teams are going to the use of relief pitchers as “openers,” sometimes followed by a primary pitcher and late-inning relievers – or even entire “bullpen” games, with a series of reliever each taking on one or two innings.
The “Quality” Start
In today’s game, six innings and three or fewer runs is a “Quality Start.” Starting pitchers, as recently as the 1980’s, would have considered six innings pitched a day off. The quality start has helped change the way fans (as well as managers and pitchers) look at starting pitchers’ performances. Pitchers simply are no longer expected to finish what they start. Consider this statistic. (Note: Negro League stats not yet incorporated.)
Average Innings Pitched Per Start
1920 7.4
1940 6.9
1960 6.4
1980 6.3
2000 5.9
2021 5.0
Through September 18 of this season, starters are averaging 5.2 innings pitched per start.
Brief Baseball Roundtable Rant
A quality start is defined as six innings pitched and three or fewer earned runs allowed. Through September 18, MLB’s average earned run average was 3.98. So, you can pitch below the league ERA average and earn a quality start.
The Advent of the Save
Years ago, relief pitchers were mostly starters past their prime brought in to “mop up.” In fact, the “save” was not even established as a statistic until 1969 (saves were awarded retroactively for seasons prior to 1969). Today, relievers are more valued and respected then ever – which leads us to the next point – the rise of relief specialists.
The Rise of Relief Specialists
Today, not only does the manager look to the closer (primarily for the ninth inning), the bullpen also features key “set up” men, earmarked for the seventh or eighth innings. And, not only do most teams have their seventh- and eighth-inning specialists, we also see “arms” in the bullpen ready for long- and middle-relief. Recently, until the recent change (requiring a pitcher to faced at least three batters or finish an inning), even one-batter (lefty or righty), specialists were stalwarts in MLB bullpens. No wonder managers are so quick with the hook. They’ve got to keep that well-paid dollar bullpen happy.
The Dreaded Pitch Count
And, of course, there is the “pitch count,” considering the financial investment teams have in pitchers, the thinness of pitching staffs (we do, after all, now have thirty teams), pitchers are treated with great care, often held to pitch counts in the neighborhood of 100 – no matter how well they are throwing. Pitchers simply are throwing less these days.
Phil Humber threw only one complete game in his eight-season MLB career – and it was a perfect game. Why is it included in this pitch count section? He needed just 95 pitches to complete the outing.
Strikeouts
The growing emphasis on strikeouts has also contributed to the decline in complete games (particularly when combined with pitch counts). The fact is, it most often takes more pitches to rack up strikeouts than to pitch to weak contact. (In most cases, it also requires an increased focus on velocity, also tougher on the arm.) Consider the record of Warren Spahn, who led the National League in complete games an MLB-record nine times, won 20 or more games in 13 seasons and led the league in strikeouts four times – yet averaged just 4.4 strikeouts per nine innings, never struck out 200 batters nor six batters per nine innings in a season.
Strikeouts Per Nine Innings
1900 2.4
1920 2.9
1940 3.7
1960 5.2
1980 4.8
2000 6.5
2021 8.9
Through September 18, the 2022 average is 8.5 whiffs per nine innings.
Sidebar – Innings Pitched Leaders
From 1950-59, Robin Roberts AVERAGED 301 innings pitched (and 23.7 complete games) per season. And, if you pick any decade from 1900 through 1979, the average innings pitched for the league leaders was over or very near 300. However, innings pitched have dropped significantly since Steve Carlton became the most recent pitcher to hurl 300 innings in (1980). For the last decade, the average for league leaders has been shy of 250. In 2021, Robbie Ray led the National League with 193.1 innings pitched.
Here’s the chart of average innings pitched by league leaders (by decade) with major strike-shortened seasons deleted:
Decade Average Innings Pitched by League Leaders*
1909-09 350
1910-19 348
1920-29 318
1930-39 304
1940-49 305
1950-59 294
1960-69 303
1970-79 327
1980-89 279
1990-99 261
2000-09 244
2010-19 231
*Negro Leagues with their short seasons not included.
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One final complete-game tidbit. Between My 14 and June 4, 1969, the Dodgers’ Don Drysdale pitched an MLB-record six consecutive complete-game shutouts,
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So, there are BBRT’s random musings about complete games. I do kind of miss them, but that’s the way today’s game is played. Guess, I’ll have to take in a Sandy Alcantara start,
Primary Resources: Baseball-Reference.com; MLB.com; Baseball-Almanac.com.
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