Archives for September 2012

Homer Bailey Tosses 7th 2012 No-Hitter … and other tidbits

Homer Bailey – ironic name for a hurler who tosses a no-hitter.

On Friday September 28, Homer Bailey (Homer, ironic name for a MLB pitcher, don’t you think?) of the Reds no-hit the Pittsburgh Pirates – MLB’s record-tying seventh no-hitter of the 2012 season Major League hurlers also notched seven no-hitters each in 1990 and 1991.  The Reds topped the Pirates 1-0, further strengthening BBRT’s belief that no-hitters and perfect games are most often borne of stiff competition.  (See BBRT post of August 16).

Of MLB’s 279 no-hitters to date, 1-0 represents the most common score of this uncommon accomplishment.  Forty-four no-hitters have featured only a single run, including the April 23, 1963 game, in which Houston’s Ken Johnson no-hit the Reds and lost 1-0.  Johnson’s game was one of only two no-hitter losses, the other a 2-1 defeat suffered by the Orioles on April 30, 1967 – when Steve Barber and Stu Miller combined to no-hit the Tigers.\

Here are a few additional no-hitter tidbits you might find of interest.

On September 9, 1965, Sandy Koufax tossed a perfect game against the Cubs, winning 1-0 in LA.  The win brought Koufax’ record to 22-7.  His mound opponent –  Bob Hendley (2-3) – deserved better, giving up only one unearned run on one hit.  The Dodgers, in fact, has only two base runners in the game.  The combined total of hits (1) and base runners (2) remains the lowest total for an MLB game.

On April 30 and May 1, 1969, the Houston Astros were in Cincinnati for a two-game series against the Reds – with both games producing no-hitters.  On April 30, the Reds’ Jim Maloney no-hit the Astros 10-0.  On May 1, the Astros’ Don Wilson returned the favor, setting down the Reds without a safety in a 4-0 win.  This is the only time an entire, multi-game series was comprised of no-hitters.

On May 3, 2011, the Twins’ Francisco Liriano no-hit the White Sox 1-0 – still the only complete game of his career.  Liriano’s ERA going into the contest was 9.13.

On June 25, 2010, Edwin Jackson of the Diamondbacks no-hit Tampa Bay (a 1-0 win), while walking eight and hitting one batter.  His 149 pitches thrown are the most ever in a no-no.  (A.J. Burnet holds the record for walks in a no-hitter, nine in a 3-0 Marlins win over the Padres on May 12, 2001).

The most lopsided no-hitter took place on August 4, 1884, when Pud Galvin of the NL Buffalo Bisons enjoyed an 18-0 win over the Detroit Wolverines.

For more no-hitter and perfect game factoids, see BBRT’s posts of August 16, July 12, June 14, June 9 and April 21.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Latino All Stars – and the First and Last Hispanic All-Star Game

Ivan Rodriguez would captain BBRT All-Latino, All-Star Team … and pretty much everyone else’s as well.

Last week, MLB released its 2012 All-Time Latino All-Star Team, based on a survey of baseball experts. In this post, BBRT will take a look at those selections – and how Ted Williams managed to be chosen as an All-Time Latino All-Star.  BBRT will also compare the 2012 selections with the results of a 2005 fan vote that produced a “Latino Legends” team.  But first, BBRT would like to take you on a nostalgia trip, back to the first (and only) Hispanic All-Star Game.  For trivia buffs, here’s one to ponder over an Irish brew.  Who was the winning pitcher in the only MLB Hispanic All-Star Game?  The answer:  Virgin Island-native Alvin O’Neal McBean.

The game was played at New York City’s Polo Grounds on October 12, 1963 – and was also the last game ever played at the Polo Grounds (the Mets moved to Shea the next season.)  It drew a rather meager crowd of 14,235 to see such Hispanic stars as Juan Marichal, Roberto Clemente, Louis Aparicio, Tony Oliva, Minnie Minoso, Felipe Alou, Orlando Cepeda and Vic Power.  In pre-game ceremonies, Vic Power was honored as the number-one Latino player; Juan Marichal as the top Latino pitcher; and Orlando Cepeda as the most popular Latino player.  Here’s the box score for the contest, won the by National Leaguers by a 5-2 score.

 

AL       000  000   0002      2   7   2

NL       100   301   00x      5   9   2

BF=Baseball Hall of Fame member

 

AL                                                       AB       H         R          RBI

L. Aparicio  SS                                   4          0          0          0

V. Power  1B                                       3          0          0          0

J. Becquer 1B                                     1          0          0          0

T. Oliva  RF                                         5          0          2          1

H. Lopez  LF                                       2          0          1          0

M. Minoso LF                                     2           0           0         0

J. Azcue  C                                          4          0          0          0

R. Majias  CF                                      3          0          1          0

F. Mantilla  3B                                    4          0          0          0

Z. Versalles  2B                                  4          1          1          0

P. Ramos P                                          2          0          1          0

D. Segui P                                            2          1          1          0

 

NL

L. Cardenas SS-2B                              4          0          0          0

F. Alou LF                                            4          0          1          1

O. Cepeda  1B                                   3          1          1          0

R. Amaro  1B                                       1          0          0          0

T. Gonzalez  CF                                   3          2          2          0

R. Clemente  RF                               2          0          0          0

A. McBean  P                                      1          0          1          1

J. Pignatano  C                                    1          0          0          0

E. Bauta  P                                           0          0          0          0

J. Javier  2B                                         2          1          2          1

C. Fernandez  3B                                 2          0          0          0

C. Baragan C                                       3          0          0          0

J. Marichal  P                                    1          0          0          0

M. Mota  RF                                        2          0          2          2

 

2B – Oliva; 3B – McBean; SB – Taylor, Javiar, Aparicio

Pitching

 AL                                           IP         H         R          ER       BB       SO

P. Ramos (L)                            5          6          4          4          1          4

D. Segui                                    3          3          1          1          1           1

NL

J. Marichal                             4          2          0          0          0          6

A.  McBean (W)                       4          3          0          0          2          4

E.  Bauta                                   1          2          2          2          1          0

Now, let’s look at recent all-Latino teams – comparing the expert-selected All-Time Latino All-Star team of 2012, with the 2005 Latino Legends team selected by the fans.

BF=Hall of Fame member

2012                                             2005

Catcher                        Ivan Rodriguez                         Ivan Rodriguez

First Base                     Albert Pujols                            Albert Pujols

Second Base                Roberto Alomar                  Rod Carew

Third Base                    Alex Rodriguez                       Edgar Martinez

Shortstop                     Louis Aparicio                      Alex Rodriguez

Outfield                        Roberto Clemente              Roberto Clemente

Outfield                        Ted Williams                       Manny Ramirez

Outfield                        Reggie Jackson                  Vlad Guerrero

RH Pitcher                   Juan Marichal                     Juan Marichal

Pedro Martinez

LH Pitcher                    Fernando Valenzuela             Fernando Valenzuela

Closer                          Mariano Rivera                         Mariano Rivera

Manager                       Felipe Alou

You can form your own opinions – and even put together your own all-Latino team.  Here, for what they are worth, are BBRT’s comments.  (Stats as of September 26, 2012.)

Catcher Ivan Rodriguez is a clear choice and was the backstop on both the 2005 and 2012 teams.  Hard to argue with 13 Gold Gloves,  14 All-Star selections, a league MVP Award, 2,844 hits, a .296 career average, 311 home runs and more than 1,300 runs scored and RBI.

First BaseAlbert Pujols again makes both lists and the stats tell the story.  In just his twelfth big league season, Pujols already has more 2,200 hits, a career .325 average, 475 home runs, 1,400+ RBI,  a Rookie of the Year Award, three MVP Awards and nine All-Star Selections.  Orlando Cepeda and Rafael Palmeiro are the closest competitors and Pujols will clearly surpass their career accomplishments before he is through (you can easily argue he is already there.)

Second Base – Wow, two Hall of Famers here – Roberto Alomar and Rod Carew.  A tough one.  Carew clearly leads the “Awards Race” – Rookie of the Year, an MVP Award, seven batting titles, 18 All-Star selections in 19 seasons.  Still, BBRT goes with Roberto Alomar.  While Carew leads Alomar in hits (3,053 to 2,724) and career average (.328 to .300), Alomar (a 12-time All Star) leads Rapid Rodney in runs scored (1,508 to 1,424), RBI (1,134 to 1,015), home runs (210 to 92) and stolen bases (474 to 353).  The clincher, however, comes not at the plate or on the base paths – Alomar leads in Gold Gloves 10 to 0.

Third Base – Interesting results here.  You have Alex Rodriguez (who made one of the Latino All-Star lists as a shortstop and one as a third baseman) and Edgar Martinez (who made one list as a DH and one as a third baseman).  BBRT is taking the easy way out and going with A-Rod at the hot corner (and, as you will see later) Martinez at DH.  As BBRT completes this post, Rodriguez is a 14-time All Star, three-time MVP, five-time league home run leader and one-time batting champion.  If that’s not enough, he’s already tallied 2,854 hits, 647 home runs, 1,949 RBI, 1,893 runs, 318 stolen bases and a .300 career average.  For the future, Adrian Beltre may push his way into consideration with his combination of oak and leather.

Shortstop – Placing A-Rod at third base on BBRT’s all-Latino team paves the way for BBRT’s shortstop pick – Louis Aparacio.  Although not blessed with a powerful bat (.262 career average with 83 home runs), Aparicio led the AL in stolen basis nine times (and totaled 506 stolen bases), scored 1,335 runs, earned 10 All-Star selections and captured nine Gold Gloves.  Fortunately, I could place A-Rod at third and give this slick-fielding speedster his due.

Outfield – Got to start with Roberto Clemente: 12-time All Star; 12-time Gold Glover;  four-time batting champ and one-time NL MVP; who collected 3,000 hits, 240 home runs, 1,416 runs scored and 1,305 RBI.

Next is the less obvious pick – Ted Williams.  How does Ted make the all-Latino list? Very simply, his mother was Mexican.  Williams needs no justification, but here a partial list:  17 All-Star selections; six batting titles; two MVP Awards; four home run titles;  two Triple Crowns; a .344 career average;  521 home runs; 1,798 runs scored; and 1,839 RBI.  No doubt, Teddy Ballgame is in.

BBRT’s final choice in the outfield reflects a combination of  logic and sentiment.  First, BBRT eliminated controversial choices, particularly any possible PED issues.  BBRT also considered attitude and how the player contributed to the reputation of the game.  That led to agreement with the fans’ 2005 choice Vlad Guerrero – nine-time All Star, League MVP, 449 home runs, 1,496 RBI, 1,328 runs scored, 181 stolen bases.   There were plenty of choices here, all falling behind for one reason or another – Manny (just being Manny) Ramirez; Juan Gonzalez; Reggie (Mr. October) Jackson; Sammy Sosa; and Minnie Minoso, to name just a few.  BBRT also had a soft spot for Tony Oliva – an 8-time All-Star and three-time batting champ (his home run, runs scored and RBI total just didn’t match up with Vlad).

DH – No contest, Edgar Martinez takes this one.  He’s a seven-time All-Star, two-time batting champ, who retired with 2,247 hits, a .312 average, 309 home runs, 1,219 runs scored and 1,261 RBI – most accumulated at DH.

Right-Handed Starter – Tough contest, and while the experts (and perhaps the popular vote) goes for Juan Marichal, BBRT is selecting Pedro Martinez.  Here’s the case: While Marichal leads Martinez in wins 243 to 219, Martinez holds the edge in winning percentage .687 to .631.  Then there is earned run average – Marichal holds a slight edge 2.89 to 2.93, but measured against their peers, Martinez led his league in ERA five times to just once for Marichal. Marichal did have six twenty-win seasons to just two for Martinez, but Pedro captured three Cy Young Awards to one for Juan. Marichal also hold a big lead in complete games 244 to 46, but led the league in complete games twice to Martinez’ once.   Martinez enjoys a big league in strikeouts 3,154 to 2,303, leading his league three times to none for Marichal.  Tough to compare pitchers from different eras, but for BBRT – when compared to his peers – Martinez was more dominant than Marichal.  So, Pedro gets a VERY SLIGHT edge.

Left-Handed Starter – For lefties, Fernando-mania reigns … although the statistics are far less gaudy than for our Latino lefties.   This six-time all-star rang up a 173-153 career record with one Cy Young Award; a 3.54 ERA; one-time league leadership in wins; three-time leadership in complete games; one-time leadership in shutouts; and  2,074 strikeouts (one strikeout crown) – to go along with a personality that brought new life to and spurred greater Latino interest in West Coast baseball.

Closer – All you need to say is Mariano Rivera and “case closed.”  Rivera racked up a  major league record 608 saves to go with a 76-58 record and 2.21 ERA, leading the AL in saves 3 times and earning 12 All-Star selections.  As a closer, he was as close to a sure thing as you can get.

BBRT welcomes your comments on these choices, or other nominees to rank among the greatest Latino players of all time.

Melky Did the Right Thing

Melky Cabrera did the right thing yesterday – pulling out of the NL batting race.  (See BBRT’s September 20 post for more on this issue.)  It was an honorable course of action and a giant (no pun intended) step toward vindication.   Now, it’s up to MLB and commissioner Bud Selig.  While Cabrera requested disqualification from the batting title (due to his 50-game PED suspension), making it happen took Selig’s one-season-only (2012) rules change to disqualify players who “served a drug suspension for violating the Joint Drug Program” from the individual batting, slugging and on-bases percentages championships. BBRT says “Thanks, Melky, for stepping up to the plate on this one” … and urges MLB to make the rules change a permanent one, providing baseball another asset in its efforts to remove PEDs from the game.

 

Home Team Out of the Race – Still Plenty to Watch

Even if your favorite team is out of the race, there is still a lot to keep you interested as the 2012 MLB season winds down.  Here are just a few things that BBRT will be watching for outside of the Division and Wild Card races and post-season competition.  (Stats includes games through September 19.)

Will the Pirates’ Andrew McCutchen save MLB the embarrassment of having the Giants’ Melky Cabrera – serving a 50-game suspension for testing positive for testosterone – win the batting title?

The suspended Cabrera is one plate appearance short of the 502 needed to qualify for the batting title.  MLB rules say a player short of the plate-appearance requirement can still win the batting crown if you add the necessary plate appearances as outs (in this case, just one) and their average would still lead the league.  The addition would leave Cabrera’s average at .346.  McCutchen is hitting .340.  BBRT says, “Go Andy, go!”

 

BBRT likes this M. Cabrera.

Can the good Cabrera – Miguel – become the 16th player and first since 1967 to win the Triple Crown? 

Currently, Cabrera leads the AL in average at .333; RBI at 130; and trails Josh Hamilton in home runs 42 to 41.  BBRT is rooting for this Cabrera.

Who will win theAL batting crown? 

The top contenders seem to be:

– The Tigers’ Miguel Cabrera at .333 (shooting for the triple crown);

– The Angels’ Mike Trout at .327 (working to become just the sixth rookie batting champ and only the third since 1900);

– The Twins’ Joe Mauer at .324 (who would become the only catcher to win four batting titles – he’s already the only catcher with three);

– The Yankees’ Derek Jeter at .322 (looking to add a batting title to his Hall of Fame career.)

Can surprising knuckleballer R.A. Dickey of the Mets become only the second pitcher in MLB history to win a Cy Young Award with a last place team?

Dickey currently sits at 18-6, 2.67 with five complete games, three shutouts and 205 Ks for the 66-82 Mets (just one game out of the NL East basement).  First, of course, Dickey has to keep winning while the Mets lose their way to the bottom of the standings.  Then, Dickey has to beat out another surprising hurler, the National’s Gio Gonzalez, 19-8, 2.95, with two complete games, one shutout and 196 Ks.  Coming into this season, these two Cy Young candidates had a combined record of 82-87 (Dickey … 41-50 over nine seasons; Gonzalez … 41-37 over four seasons.)

The only Cy Young Award winner ever on a last place team?  Steve Carlton in 1972. Carlton went 27-10, 1.97, with 30 complete games, eight shutouts and 310 Ks for the 59-91 Phillies.

Will the Pirates break their 19-year under-.500 streak?

The last time the Pirates finished above .500 was in 1992, when they won the NL East with a 96-66 record (their third straight NL East title).  This year, the Pirates were 16 games over .500 on July 28.  Since that time, they have fallen to 74-74.  BBRT is hoping the Pirates break their streak of futility.

Will Chipper Jones finish with a flourish?

In his last season, the future Hall of Famer is likely to see post-season action with the Braves (who appear headed for a Wild Card slot).  BBRT looks forward to watching Chipper close out the season – and then seeing some post-season Chipper.  The forty-year-old Jones is having a solid final season:  .297, 14 HRs, 60 RBI in 102 games.

Will Detroit’s Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander become the first two pitchers from the same team to finish 1 & 2 in strikeouts (in their league) since the Cubs’ Kerry Wood and Mark Prior in 2003?  (The last time it was done in the AL was by the Angels Nolan Ryan and Frank Tanana in 1976).’

Currently, Scherzer leads the AL in Ks with 224, with Verlander second at 223.   Next is Seattle’s Felix Hernandez at 207.

How many pitchers will achieve 20 wins this season?

Four hurlers seem to have a good shot at the 20-win club.  Gio Gonzalez of the Nationals (currently at 19); R.A. Dickey of the Mets (18); David Price of the Rays (18); and Jered Weaver of the Angels (18).  It will be the first 20-win season for any of this quartet who make it.

Will the Nationals activate Strasburg for the playoffs?

Big question.  BBRT would, but that’s kind of “old school.”

Will Roger Clemens take the mound for the Astros before season end?

BBRT hopes not.  But, it might sell some tickets.  And,so it delays his Hall of Fame eligibility for five years?  There are probably bigger concerns in that area.

 

BBRT loves this gentleman slugger.

Will the Orioles get Jim Thome back in the line-up?

BBRT hopes this gentleman gets a chance to help the Orioles and add to his 611 career home runs.

A Look at What’s Left – The Remaining Schedule and the Playoff Races

As always, baseball heats up as the season winds down.

Well, BBRT was wrong about the new Wild Card system.  Back on March 18th, BBRT ranted about the new system (fearing it would open the door to an NHL- or NFL-style postseason, where it’s harder to miss the playoffs than to get in.  BBRT, being old school, still would prefer two leagues of two divisions each (one league with two eight-team divisions and one with two seven-team divisions – or an eight- and seven-team division in each league), with only division champs making the playoffs.  However, the new system does have its merits.

First, and most important, it does make the division championship more important.  Finishing first means you can avoid that one-game, winner-take-all Wild Card playoff.  That may, in fact, have spurred this year’s very active market as the trade deadline approached.

Second, it has kept things more interesting for more teams and fans.  At the close of Saturday, September 15’s games, eightALteams and eight NL team were within 3 ½  games of a playoff spot (this includes division leaders).

Of course, the AL didn’t need the Wild Card race to spice things up.  There are close and intense races for first place in all three divisions.  Over in the NL, however, the division leaders had more breathing room, and the Wild Card race was drawing more attention.

Let’s take a look at what lies ahead on the schedule for the division contenders (as of Monday, September 17, a.m.).

AL East

Looks like the Al East is going down to the wire, with the Yankees heading into the final 16 contests with a one-game lead over the upstart Orioles and Tampa Bay a very long shot at five games out.

The Yankees have nine games at home and seven away left on the schedule – facing the  Blue Jays (66-79) seven times.  They also face the Twins (60-87) and Red Sox (66-81), both well under .500.  Their most challenging series is a three-gamer at home against the surprising Oakland As – 84-62 and still in the AL West hunt.

The Orioles have a slightly tougher schedule, primarily due to the home / road split – seven games at home and nine on the road.  The Orioles get the under-.500 Mariners (70-77), Blue Jays and Red Sox until the final three games of the season – a potentially tough three-game set in Tampa Bay (78-68).

The Rays, five out in the East Division race and four behind in the Wild Card competition, face a tougher slate of games.  They do have 10 at home and six on the road – with six against the disintegrating Red Sox.  But they also have four games against the White Sox (79-66 and fighting for the Central Division lead) in Chicago, and that final three-game set against the Orioles (82-64) at home.

From here, it looks like a combination of schedule and pennant race experience will keep the Yankees on top of the AL East, with Baltimore capturing a Wild Card spot.  The Angels will pressure the Orioles, but have a much tougher schedule.

AL Central

Who would have thought that the White Sox would have the grit to hold on in the AL Central?  A couple of pick-ups along the way (particularly the experienced Youkilis), Chris Sale’s prime-time performance and a surprising season from A.J,. Pierzynski have them heading into the final stretch two games up on the preseason favorite Tigers.

The remaining schedule, however, clearly favors the Tigers.  They’ve got today’s critical make-up game at Chicago followed by a ten-game home stand.  Then they finish up with six on the road – but those road games are against the Twins and Royals – both well under .500 and with little to play for.  In fact, 13 of the Tigers last 17 games area against the Twins and Royals.  They also have three against the Oakland As (84-62, with plenty to play for).

The White Sox, on the other hand, have a tough schedule ahead with eight at home and nine away.  Those home games are no “walk in the Park,” with four against Tampa Bay (78-68) and today’s critical make-up game against the Tigers. On the road, they face off for three against the Angels (80-67.)  They also have six games against the Indians (61-86) and three against the Royals (66-80).

From here, it looks like the Tigers prevail, with the White Sox just missing a Wild Card spot.

AL West

The AL West is finishing up in a real shootout, with the top three teams – Rangers, As and Angels facing each other multiple times.

The Rangers, currently holding a three-game lead, have seven home and nine away games left – with 13 of those against the second-place As (four in Texas, three at Oakland) and third-place Angels (three home and three away).  They also have a breather with three at Seattle.  Clearly, the Rangers control their own destiny.

The A’s have a very challenging schedule.  On Tuesday, they start a stretch of 10 consecutive road games facing, in order: Detroit (77-68 in a Central Division fight with the White Sox);  the Yankees (83-63 and battling for the AL East); and West Division-leading Texas (87-59).  They finish up with six at home (three each against Seattle and Texas), but they may have faded from the race before then.

The Angels, have nine left at home and six on the road – and may be helped by their six tilts against the Mariners (70-77), three each at home and away.  They also face the Rangers for six critical games (split evenly at home and away) and the White Sox for three at home.

Overall, the Angels have the easier schedule, but it’s not that much easier and not likely to be enough to overcome a 7 1/2 game deficit to the Rangers or even their 2 1/2 game Wild Card deficit to the Orioles ((all those Rangers games may do them in) – unless the Angels can win at least five of six against Texas.  BBRT looks for the Rangers to hold on to first and the Angels to fall just short of Baltimore for a Wild Card spot.

NL East

Back in March, BBRT predicted the Nationals would contend for a Wild Card spot.  However, the Nat’s current 5 ½-game lead over Atlanta was not expected.  Ultimately, the East will place two teams in the playoffs.

The Nationals have 10 home and six road contests left – all of them against teams fighting for a Wild Card spot, but none against division leaders or the East’s second-place Braves.

Washington has three against the Dodgers (76-70); four against the Brewers (74-72); three against the Cardinals (76-71); and six against the Phillies (73-74).  Even without Strasburg, BBRT sees the Nats holding on and make the playoffs.

The Braves have an easier schedule going forward, although road games outnumber home games nine to six.  The opponents, however, are not as tough as those who will face off against the Nationals.  The Braves have six against the East Division’s last-place Marlins (65-82); three against the second-to-last Mets  (66-80); and three each against the Wild Card-chasing Phillies (73-74 and coming on) and Pirates (73-72, but fading in the second half).

The Phillies, who (it appears) made their move too late, have six games left at home and nine on the road – with six games (three home and three away) against the Division-leading (89-57) Nationals and three (at home) against the second-place Braves (84-63).  They also have three each against the well under-.500 Mets and Marlins (65-82).  Not a bad schedule, but the Phillies have just run out of time.

BBRT see the Nationals taking the East Division (easy call) and the Braves retaining their comfortable hold on a Wild Card spot – so Chipper Jones, appropriately, will bow out in the post season.

NL Central

Cincinnati is coasting with an 11-game lead, with the Central Division’s Pittsburgh, Saint Louis and Milwaukee all in the Wild Card hunt.

The Reds have six home and nine road games left and, while they hold their Central lead, they will also have a lot to say about the Wild Card race.  The Reds have three games each against the Central Division’s Wild Card hopefuls the 77-70 Cardinals (at St. Louis); the 73-72 Pirates (at Pittsburgh); and the 74-72 Brewers (in Cincinnati). They also have a three-game set at home against the 76-71 Dodgers and three contests against the 58-88 Cubs.

The Cardinals have a pretty balanced schedule of nine home and six away games left – three each at home against a pair of division leaders (Nationals and Reds) and six against lowly Houston (48-99) and the Cubs.  It looks like a good schedule for securing the final Wild Card spot, but they may a challenge from the Dodgers.

The Pirates, fading over the course of the second half, have nine home and eight away games left.  Fortunately for the Pirates, the road games are against the Cubs (one), the Astros (3) and the Mets (four).  They key series may be the September 18-20, three game set against the Brewers, also working to finish above .500 and, perhaps, sneak into the Wild Card. Pittsburgh finishes at home with six tough games against the Reds and Braves.  BBRT sees the Pirates falling short of the Wild Card, but hanging on to break their 19-year under-.500 streak.

The Brewers go on the road for ten games (September 18-27), facing two Division leaders (Nationals, four games, and Reds, three games), as well as the Pirates (struggling, but with something to play for.)  They finish with six at home against the Astros and Padres (71-76), but it may be too late by then.  BBRT sees the Brewers sitting out the playoffs.

NL West

Despite Melky Cabrera’s suspension, the Giants – with a 7 ½ game lead over the Dodgers – seem destined to hang on to the Division lead.  The question seems to be will it be the Dodgers or the Cardinals in the second Wild Card spot.

The Giants are about to begin a nice ten-game home stand, facing 58-87 Colorado (4 games); San Diego (3 games); and 72-74 Arizona (3 games).  Then they go on the road to San Diego and Los Angeles (76-71).  BBRT see the Giants staying atop the Division.

The Dodgers go on the road for nine games, including six against the first place Nationals and Reds and three against the Padres.  They close out at home with three against the Rockies and the final three against arch-rival Giants.  Tough call, given the Dodgers recent moves to strengthen their line-up and the Cardinals easier schedule.  So BBRT sees the Dodgers and Cards tying for the final Wild Card spot and the one-game playoff depending on which team has the best starter available.

So, here is the BBRT call:

AL: 

Division winners:   Yankees, Rangers, Tigers

Wild Cards:  Orioles, A’s

NL

Division Winners:  Nationals, Giants, Reds

Wild Card:  Braves, Cardinals/Dodgers (tie)

Watch BBRT for a look at the individual performances we’ll be watching as the season heats up and winds down

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Profar Joins the First At-Bat Home Run Club

Home runs look different, depending on your perspective.

On Sunday (September 23, 2012), Texas Rangers 19-year-old rookie Jurickson Profar became the 113th player, just the third teenager and the first Texas Ranger to homer in his first major league at bat. (This feat is much more common, by the way, than homering in your last at bat, done only 44 times.) Profar considered a top prospect hit .281 with 14 home runs,  62 RBI and 16 stolen bases in 126 games for the Double-A Frisco Roughriders before being called up.

So, did Profar ride into the spotlight with some of the games great long ball threats? Not so much.  How many of the game’s current top 50 career home run leaders (400 or more homers each) homered in their first MLB at-bat?  Zero.  The career home run leader among players homering in their first trip to the plate is Gary Gaetti with 360.  And, in fact, 23 of the 113 members of this club current stand at 1 career homer  – although a handful are still active and likely to add to their totals.

A few other first-at-bat homer factoids:

–  Twenty-eight rookies got off to the fastest start possible, homering on the first pitch they saw – most recently Starling Marte of the Pirates, July 26 of this season.

–  Four accomplished the ultimate first at-bat, starting their careers with a Grand Slam: Bill Duggelby (Phillies, 1898); Jeremy Hermida (Marlins, 2005); Kevin Kouzmanoff (Indians, 2006)l and Daniel Nava (Red Sox 2010).

– Two players combined “fast and ultimate” hitting Grand Slams on the first pitch they ever saw (Kouzmanoff and Nava.)

– Two had to work really hard, notching and inside-the-park home run on their first at bat:  Luke Stuart (Cardinals, 1921) and Johnnie Lemaster (Giants, 1975).