Once again, it’s time for Trivia(l) Tidbit Tuesday. I hope you are enjoying this weekly presentation of baseball occurrences that for some reason caught The Roundtable’s eye. (I’m particularly fond of unexpected performances and statistical coincidences.) These won’t necessarily be momentous occurrences, just events, statistics or coincidences that grabbed my attention. I’m also drawn to baseball “unicorns,” those one-of-a-kind accomplishment or statistics.
This week, I am looking at a statistic that came as a little bit of a surprise to me. It comes in the answer to the question: Which active player, with at least 100 career plate appearances with runners in scoring position (RISP) has the highest career batting average with RISP?
Looking at active players with at least 100 MLB plate appearances with runners in scoring position, the player with the highest batting average in such situation is not an acknowledged run producer like Aaron Judge (.295 in 991 plate appearances with RISP) or even Freddie Freeman (.333 in 2,220 plate appearances with RISP). Nope, it’s three-time batting champion Luis Arraez, who currently sits at .369 in 540 plate appearances with RISP.) Okay, I admit, those batting crowns make him a potential candidate for this spot, but he is not among the first names that came to mind when I thought about this list. (I think of Arraez as more of a table-setter than a bases clearer.) Perhaps even more surprising is number-two on the list, A’s speedy centerfielder Esteury Ruiz (a .243 overall average in his 178 games, but .354 in 130 plate appearances with RISP.
Of course, a lot of things come into play here – and there is a need for caution when evaluating the impact of this particular stat. You need to consider such factors as the player’s overall average (and how his average with RISP compares), how often the player comes to the plate with RISP and how likely a pitcher is to give the particular player “something to hit” with ducks on the pond. (I did have to refer back to the title of the post at some point).
For example, I took at look at Judge (.295 with RISP) versus Arraez (.369 with RISP) and found a few stats that deserve consideration. To date, Judge has walked in 21.3 percent of his plate appearances with RISP, as opposed to 9.8 percent for Arraez. Judge’s on-base percentage with RISP is slightly higher (.443 to .423) than Arraez’. When it comes to delivering runs, Judge has driven in 0.38 runs per plate appearance with RISP to 0.37 for Arraez (pretty close). Take out those walks, however, and Judge has delivered 0.53 runs per non-walk plate appearance (at bats and sacrifices), versus 41.3 for Arraez. Dang, I do love statistics.
Ultimately, though, how can you not be impressed by Arraez’ .369 average with RISP or the fact that Ruiz’ average with RISP is 111 points higher than his overall average?
An MLB Unicorn
Luis Arraez is the only MLB player to win three consecutive batting titles with three different teams (Twins – 2022; Marlins – 2023; Padres – 2024) – and the only player to win an AL and NL batting title I consecutive seasons.
As usual with Baseball Roundtable, “one thing led to another,” and I looked at 2024 averages with RISP and career averages with RISP.
When it came to 2024, I set a minimum of 50 at bats with Runners in Scoring Position. The leader was Reds’ outfielder Stuart Fairchild, a .215 hitter overall in 2024 (with a four-season MLB career average of .224). Fairchild came to the plate with RISP 53 times in 2024 – and delivered a eye-opening .465 average (20 hits in 43 at bats, six walks, one HBP, two bunts and one sacrifice fly). Fairchild might be considered a bit of a surprise here. In his first three MLB seasons, (2021-23), he had 98 plate appearances with RISP and hit .200 (17-for-85). Here are the 2024 top ten.
I then moved on to career average with RISP, upping the minimum number of plate appearances with RISP to 500 (I wanted to keep Arraez in the mix). Another word of caution here. The chart below is to provide a general point of comparison only. The fact is, for all but Arreaz on this chart, the numbers are incomplete, due to fact (as stathead.com notes, play-by-play data for some – many, depending on the year – games in those early years is not be available). Still, the chart gives us a look into some of the best hitters with RISP, and indicates, to this point in his career, Arraez still fares pretty darn well.
Note: Just missing the chart above is Tony Gwynn, with a career average of .349 in 2,547 plate appearances with RISP (and Gwynn’s play-by-play records are complete).
Baseball fans love numbers. They like to swirl them around in their mouths like Bordeaux wine.
Pat Conroy – Author
Statistics can be an invaluable tool, but they can also deceive. They can tell one story, while the truth lies in the nuances of the game.
Bill James – Baseball writer, historan, statistician
Baseball statistics are like a girl in a bikini. They show a lot, but not everything.
Toby Harrah, – MLB infielder
Primary Resource: Stathead.com
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