{"id":12512,"date":"2020-11-16T17:54:09","date_gmt":"2020-11-16T23:54:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.baseballroundtable.com\/?p=12512"},"modified":"2020-11-18T08:13:51","modified_gmt":"2020-11-18T14:13:51","slug":"baseball-roundtable-offers-the-chance-to-vote-in-bbrts-unofficial-2012-baseball-hall-of-fame-balloting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baseballroundtable.com\/baseball-roundtable-offers-the-chance-to-vote-in-bbrts-unofficial-2012-baseball-hall-of-fame-balloting\/","title":{"rendered":"Baseball Roundtable Offers the Chance to Vote in BBRT’s Unofficial 2021 Baseball Hall of Fame Balloting"},"content":{"rendered":"
BBRT\u2019s Baseball Hall of Fame 2020 Debate Season<\/em> is officially open!\u00a0 The Baseball Writers Association of America (BBWAA) 2021 Hall of Fame ballots were distributed yesterday and the results will be announced in January, with the honorees inducted on July 21. This year\u2019s traditional ballot includes 14 holdovers from last year, along with 11 newcomers.<\/p>\n Skip the post (although I hope you will read on) and go right to the ballot, click here.\u00a0<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n In this post, BBRT will share:<\/p>\n ––PARTICIPATE IN BASEBALL ROUNDTABLE’S\u00a0 2021 FANS’ HALL OF FAME BALLOT—<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Baseball Roundtable is once again conducting an unofficial fan ballot – to cast your vote(s), click here<\/a>.\u00a0 Remember, you can vote for up to ten of the nominees for 2021 induction.\u00a0 If you want to read through the nominees’ bios first, there is another link to the BBRT Fan Ballot following the bios (near the end of this post).\u00a0 BBRT will be providing updates on the fan balloting, as well as a post-election comparison of fan votes as compared to the final BBWAA results.\u00a0 Voting on the BBRT Fan Ballot will remain open until January 1, 2021.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Also, if you leave your email or Facebook address in the comments section at the end of the ballot, you will be entered in a bobblehead and baseball card “surprise-prize” drawing.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Again, to cast your votes, click here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n As you consider this year\u2019s slate of candidates, BBRT would stress that all<\/strong> <\/em>the players on the ballot – even those who remain for only one voting cycle – deserve recognition. To rise to the major leagues, last ten years and make it past the Hall of Fame Screening Committee is a significant accomplishment in itself.\u00a0 In fact, the annual ballot release is a highlight for BBRT, as it provides a chance to acknowledge the accomplishments of all the candidates \u2013 not just the favorites for election.\u00a0 For example, a review of the ballot gives us the opportunity to honor Mike Buehrle’s n0-hitter and perfect game; Bobby Abreu’s 400 stolen bases; Billy Wagner’s 400 saves; A.J.Burnett’s nine-walk no-hitter; Torii Hunter’s nine Gold Gloves; LaTroy Hawkins’ 1,042 games pitched; Barry Zito’s Cy Young season; and more.<\/p>\n Now on to the official 2021 Baseball Hall of Fame election process itself – and, then, a look at the players on the ballot for 2021.<\/p>\n BASEBALL HALL OF FAME ELIGIBILITY\/CRITERIA FOR ELECTION<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n The basic rules for eligibility are that a player must have played at least ten seasons and be retired for at least five years. In addition, the player must be approved for the ballot by the Hall of Fame Screening Committee.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n A player can remain on the ballot for up to ten years, but must receive at least five percent of the vote in the preceding year\u2019s ballot to remain on the ballot.\u00a0 Each voter can vote for up to ten candidates.\u00a0 Election requires that a player be named on at least 75 percent of the ballots cast.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n The criteria for election: “Voting shall be based upon the player’s record, playing ability, integrity, sportsmanship, character, and contributions to the team(s) on which the player played.”<\/strong><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n A couple of preliminary comments.<\/p>\n In short, this year’s ballot has a lot of holdovers who are not sure things and a lot of very good<\/em>\u00a0 newcomers, but no shoe-ins.\u00a0 It will be interesting to see how BBWAA voters view this year’s list (as well as hoe BBRT’s voters react). Now, let’s take a look at whom BBRT predicts will be elected by the BBWAA; how BBRT would vote if I had a ballot; and, along the way, the bios of these year\u2019s candidates.<\/p>\n \u00a0—–LIKELY BASEBALL HALL OF FAME ELECTEES FOR 2021—–<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n BBRT\u2019s Prediction for 2021 …<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n Last November, Baseball Roundtable released its 2020 BBWAA balloting predictions, projecting the election of Derek Jeter and Larry Walker \u2013 and predicting \u201cdark horse\u201d candidate Curt Schilling would fall closer to 70 percent than 75.\u00a0 Jeter and Walker were elected and Schilling fell short (at 70 percent). Two years ago, BBRT projected the election of Mariano Rivera and Edgar Martinez and listed Mike Mussina and Roy Halladay as \u201cdark horse\u201d candidates with a chance to generate the needed 75 percent support.\u00a0 \u00a0It was a bit of a swing and miss (maybe a foul ball), as all four were elected.\u00a0 Three years ago, BBRT predicted the election of Chipper Jones, Jim Thome, Vlad Guerrero and Trevor Hoffman (with Mike Mussina as a \u201cdark horse\u201d candidate). Jones, Thome, Guerrero and Hoffman made it, with Mussina garnering 64.5 percent (sixth-most).<\/p>\n For 2021, BBRT is not optimistic about the balloting.\u00a0 I see just one truly likely candidate \u2013 Curt Schilling,<\/strong><\/span> who has seen his vote percentage increase by more than 5 percent in each of the past four years: 45.0 percent in 2017; 51.2 in 2018; 60.0 in 2019; and 70.0 last year. Another 5 percent-plus increase would put him over the top. Further, if you go back to 2018, when Schilling finished with the ninth-highest vote total, six of the eight players who finished ahead of him are now in the Hall of Fame (the exceptions being Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens).<\/p>\n I\u2019d add one dark horse candidate.\u00a0 Omar Vizquel<\/strong><\/span> (52.5 percent one year ago) – who should be helped by this year’s “slimmer\u201d ballot – has a chance to gain some ground. However, it\u2019s more likely he moves to about the 60-65 percent level percent this year.<\/p>\n Let\u2019s move on to BBRT\u2019s hypothetical – if I had one<\/em>\u00a0–\u00a0 ballot and bios of the players I would vote for; followed by a look at the remainder of the 2021 candidates.<\/p>\n Side note: You will not find those caught up in the PED-controversy on my ballot. While I think the best of them will eventually be elected\/inducted, if I had a ballot, I\u2019d prefer they made the 75 percent without my vote.\u00a0 Still, given their place in the history of the game, I\u2019d probably break down and vote for the top players in this group when they reached their final year of eligibility.<\/em><\/p>\n So, here is BBRT\u2019s Hall of Fame Ballot \u2013 again, if I had one \u2013 with the players listed in BBRT’s order of preference.<\/p>\n — PLAYERS WHO WOULD GET BBRT\u2019S VOTE \u2026<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Jeff Kent – (Second Base\/Third Base\/First Base, 1992-2008) …\u00a0 Eighth year on the ballot, 27.5 percent last year.<\/strong><\/p>\n Kent was a five-time All Star and the 2000 NL MVP.\u00a0 As primarily a middle infielder, he hit 20 or more home runs in 12 seasons (a high of 37 in 2007) and topped 100 RBI eight times. He hit .276, with nine home runs and 23 RBI in 49 post-season games.<\/p>\n Running with the Big Boys …<\/strong><\/p>\n Jeff Kent has more career runs batted in (1,509 in 17 seasons) than such noted Hall of Famers (who played a comparable number of seasons) as Mickey Mantle (1,508 in 18 seasons), Billy Williams (1,475 in 18 seasons), Eddie Mathews 1,453 in 17 seasons), Duke Snider (1,333 in 18 seasons) and Orlando Cepeda (1,365 in 17 seasons). Not bad for a middle infielder.<\/strong><\/p>\n Kent has the credentials, but BBRT has a hunch the writers may keep him on the bench \u2013 a couple of Gold Gloves, at this traditionally defense-oriented position, would have really helped his case.\u00a0 Kent played for the Blue Jays (1992), Mets (1992-1996), Indians (1996), Giants (1997-2002), Astros (2003-2004) and Dodgers (2005-2008).<\/p>\n Jeff Kent\u2019s Best Season:<\/strong> With the Giants in 2000, Kent put up these stats – 159 games; 196 hits; .334 average; 33 home runs; 125 RBI; 114 runs; 12 steals. His performance earned him the NL MVP Award.<\/p>\n Kent gets BBRT’s vote – and I believe the BBWAA’s support is overdue (but not forthcoming).\u00a0 This is one HOF \u201csnub\u201d that somewhat confuses BBRT.<\/p>\n _________<\/p>\n Todd Helton – (First Base, 1997-2013) … Third year on the ballot, 29.2 percent last year.<\/strong><\/p>\n Helton was a five-time All Star, three-time Gold Glover and four-time Silver Slugger. He hit over .300 in 12 seasons \u2013 and won the NL batting crown in 2000 with a .372 average. His 59 doubles that season are the seventh-most all-time. Helton drove in 100 or more runs in five seasons and scored in triple figures six times. His 1,335 walks (36th all-time) indicate the respect he earned at the plate.\u00a0 Helton also ranks fifth in games played at first base, second in career assists at the position, 13th in putouts and third in double plays.<\/p>\n The Denver 400<\/strong><\/p>\n Todd Helton is one of only 18 players to reach 400 or more total bases in a season \u2013 and one of only seven players to have multiple 400+ total base campaigns. He is also the only player to collect 100 extra-base hits in two consecutive seasons (2000-2001).<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n Todd Helton\u2019s Best Season:<\/strong> In 2000, Helton won the NL batting crown with a .372 average \u2013 and also led the league in base hits (216), doubles (59), RBI (147), on-base percentage (.463), slugging percentage (.698) and total bases (405).\u00a0 He also scored 138 runs and hit 42 home runs.<\/p>\n Helton will stay on the ballot and has a chance at entry into the HOF \u2013 he\u2019s just not likely to overcome the Coors Field-bias in the short-term future.\u00a0 He gets BBRT’s vote (as he has in the past).<\/p>\n __________<\/p>\n Omar Vizquel – (Shortstop\/Third Base, 1989-2012) … Fourth year on the ballot, 52.6 percent last year.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Photo by Keith Allison<\/a> Omar Vizquel got off to a good start toward a HOF plaque, grabbing 37 percent support on his first-ballot year, moving up to 42.8 percent in his second year and 52.6 percent last year.\u00a0 Vizquel once again earns BBRT’s vote \u2013 and should make his way into the Hall of Fame over time.\u00a0 When he does, it will be more with his glove (eleven Gold Gloves) than his bat.\u00a0 However, voters should be mindful of the fact that he finished his 24-season MLB career just 123 hits short of that milestone 3,000 safeties.<\/p>\n Vizquel delivered premier defense to the Mariners (1989-1993), Indians (1994-2004), Giants (2005-2008), Rangers (2009), White Sox (2010-2011) and Blue Jays (2012). He was a three-time All Star \u2013 and put together a string of nine straight Gold Gloves at shortstop (1993-2001).<\/p>\n Sacrificing for the Team<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Omar Vizquel led his league in sacrifice bunts four times.<\/strong><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n In the field, Vizquel has the highest career fielding percentage (.9847) among shortstops with at least 500 games at the position.\u00a0 Vizquel is also the all-time leader among shortstops in double plays (1,734), ranks third at the position for career assists and 11th in putouts. He shares the record (with Cal Ripken, Jr.) for the fewest errors by a shortstop in a season of at least 150 games played (three).\u00a0 For those who are into advance metrics, Vizquel also had the highest career Defensive Wins Above Replacement (War) among shortstops at 44.2.<\/p>\n On offense, Vizquel put up a serviceable .272 career average, with 80 home runs, 951 RBI and 1,445 runs scored. The 1,445 runs put him in the top 100 players all-time (83rd)<\/span>; while his 2,877 hits put him in the top 50 (43rd and fourth all-time among switch-hitters). He also swiped 404 bases \u2013 topping twenty steals eight times (a high of 42 in 1999) \u2013 putting him at number-72 on the all-time list. Vizquel played in 57 post-season games, hitting .250-0-20.<\/p>\n Omar Vizquel’s Best Season:<\/strong> In 1999, with the Indians, Vizquel hit a surprising .333, with five home runs, 66 RBI, 112 runs scored and 42 stolen bases – and, of course, won a Gold Glove at shortstop.<\/p>\n Vizquel would get BBRT\u2019s vote, but the BBWAA voters likely will make him wait a bit longer \u2013 showing a preference for a bit more offense.\u00a0 He does have a chance, however, given that his 2,877 base hits are at the top of this class.<\/p>\n __________<\/p>\n\n
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<\/a>BBRT has long believed Jeff Kent is a deserving candidate, but he has not been getting much support from the writers.\u00a0 Kent holds the all-time MLB record for home runs by a second baseman (351 of his 377 career round trippers were hit while in the lineup at second base). He has a healthy .290 career batting average; his 1,518 RBI are 54th all time; and his 560 doubles 30th.\u00a0 His 984 extra base hits are 43rd<\/sup> all-time.<\/p>\n
<\/a>Todd Helton moved from 16.5 percent of the vote to 29.2 percent between his first and second years on the ballot. He faced some pretty strong ballot competition in those first two years and this year\u2019s lighter<\/em> ballot should help boost his numbers.\u00a0 I expect he might reach 40-45 percent). Still, he is hampered by the fact that he spent his entire 17-year career with the Rockies (playing half his games in hitter-friendly Coors field).\u00a0 Helton, who put up a .316 career average, hit .345 at home and .287 on the road. Despite that home\/road split, Helton\u2019s body of work deserves HOF consideration.<\/p>\n
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